Credit Trends
Thursday, January 16, 2020
January
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Overview

The theme this year – navigating a more fractured world – looks into the impact on credit of increasing polarization, geopolitical risks and the persistently low or negative interest rate environment.

How will these challenges change the outlook for 2020 and beyond? How can credit assessments incorporate new risks?

Join one of the largest credit event series globally bringing together over 2000 investors, issuers, analysts and intermediaries to explore what themes are set to shape credit markets.

The registration for this event is currently oversubscribed. Click "Join waitlist" to be added to the waitlist

The event is free to attend.

<div class="custom-container w-container"><h2 class="n-h2">Why Attend?</h2><div class="custom-fa-wrapper"><div class="custom-item-holder latamblue"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder latamblue"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Turn outlooks into Insights</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Connect the dots between the trends, analysis and uncertainties for the year ahead</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Map out credit risks</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Take a closer look into what shifts will impact sovereign, banking and corporate sectors the most</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Engage with the market</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Network with tinvestors, asset and risk managers, retail and commercial bankers, underwritters and issuers</p></div></div></div></div>

Agenda

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Jeanine Arnold, Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

  • Europe in its late cycle: Supportive domestic demand challenged by trade uncertainties
  • Reviewing Europe’s policy tools: What to expect from ECB, fiscal policy and structural reforms?  

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

  • Geopolitical risk landscape: Trade reliance
  • Increasing polarization in a period of economic downturn  
  • The impact of low interest rates on cross-sector profitability

Led by Jeanine Arnold, Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Guillaume Lucien-Baugas, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

Caroline Pichon, Vice President - Senior Analyst, EMEA Structured Finance

10.15Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Mounting challenges pressuring profitability
  • Digitalisation and Payments Services Directive shifting banks’ business models
  • Regional banks’ vulnerabilities and resilience

Guillaume Lucien-Baugas, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

10.30Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Drivers behind negative outlook
  • Developments in credit quality of European issuers
  • Common themes influencing under pressure sectors

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

  • Trends and forecasts for 2020
  • Default behaviour in the next downturn  

Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

11.35Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

  • Climate change: Physical and transition risks explored
  • Disruptive technologies: Productivity, profitability, cyber and other risks

Led by Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Benjamin Leyre, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Infrastructure Finance Group

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.15Close of the Conference

12.30Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

  • Identifying the credit materiality of ESG
  • ESG assessment tools: ranking issuer exposure
  • Impact on credit ratings: examples and case studies

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Benjamin Leyre, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Infrastructure Finance Group

Jeanine Arnold, Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Agenda

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Jeanine Arnold, Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

Led by Jeanine Arnold, Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Guillaume Lucien-Baugas, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

Caroline Pichon, Vice President - Senior Analyst, EMEA Structured Finance

10.15Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

Guillaume Lucien-Baugas, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

10.30Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

11.35Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

Led by Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Benjamin Leyre, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Infrastructure Finance Group

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.15Close of the Conference

12.30Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Benjamin Leyre, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Infrastructure Finance Group

Jeanine Arnold, Associate Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

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Moody's Speakers

Guillaume Lucien-Baugas
Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group
Guillaume Lucien-Baugas
David Beadle
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group
David Beadle
Caroline Pichon
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
EMEA Structured Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

EMEA Structured Finance
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Caroline Pichon
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, CSS

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, CSS
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez
Alessandro Roccati
Senior Vice President -
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Senior Vice President -
Alessandro Roccati
James Leaton
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
ESG

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

ESG
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
James Leaton
Jeanine Arnold
Associate Managing Director -
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Associate Managing Director -
Jeanine Arnold
Sarah Carlson
Senior Vice President -
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President -
Sarah Carlson
Benjamin Leyre
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer,
Project & Infrastructure Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Project & Infrastructure Finance
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer,
Benjamin Leyre

If you have any questions regarding the Credit Trends, please contact Veronica Libman.