Credit Trends
Thursday, February 6, 2020
February
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Overview

The theme this year – navigating a more fractured world – looks into the impact on credit of increasing polarization, geopolitical risks and the persistently low or negative interest rate environment.

How will these challenges change the outlook for 2020 and beyond? How can credit assessments incorporate new risks?

Join one of the largest credit event series globally bringing together over 2000 investors, issuers, analysts and intermediaries to explore what themes are set to shape credit markets.

The event is free to attend.

<div class="custom-container w-container"><h2 class="n-h2">Why Attend?</h2><div class="custom-fa-wrapper"><div class="custom-item-holder latamblue"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder latamblue"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Turn outlooks into Insights</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Connect the dots between the trends, analysis and uncertainties for the year ahead</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Map out credit risks</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Take a closer look into what shifts will impact sovereign, banking and corporate sectors the most</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Engage with the market</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Network with tinvestors, asset and risk managers, retail and commercial bankers, underwritters and issuers</p></div></div></div></div>

Agenda

08.00Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

  • Europe in its late cycle: Supportive domestic demand challenged by trade uncertainties
  • Reviewing Europe’s policy tools: What to expect from ECB, fiscal policy and structural reforms?  

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

  • Geopolitical risk landscape: Trade reliance
  • Increasing polarization in a period of economic downturn  
  • The impact of low interest rates on cross-sector profitability

Led by Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

Carola Schuler, Managing Director - Banking Group

Martin Kohlhase, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Martin Rast, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Structured Finance

10.15Keynote Spotlight Conversation

Karsten Löffler, Managing Director, Green and Sustainable Finance Cluster Germany (GSFCG)

Led by Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

  • Trends and forecasts for 2020
  • Default behaviour in the next downturn  

Laura Perez Martinez, Associate Managing Director, Credit Strategy

11.35Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Mounting challenges pressuring profitability
  • Digitalisation and Payments Services Directive shifting banks’ business models
  • Regional banks’ vulnerabilities and resilience

Swen Metzler, Vice President - Senior Analyst , Financial Institutions Group

11.50 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Drivers behind negative outlook
  • Developments in credit quality of European issuers
  • Common themes influencing under pressure sectors

Martin Kohlhase, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

12.05 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

  • Climate change: Physical and transition risks explored
  • Disruptive technologies: Productivity, profitability, cyber and other risks

Led by Laura Perez Martinez, Associate Managing Director, Credit Strategy

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Mark Remshardt, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Infrastructure Finance Group

Christian Badorff, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group – EMEA Insurance

12.35Close of the Conference

12.45 Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

  • Identifying the credit materiality of ESG
  • ESG assessment tools: ranking issuer exposure
  • Impact on credit ratings: examples and case studies

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Falk Frey, Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance Group

Steffen Dyck, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group

Agenda

08.00Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

Led by Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

Carola Schuler, Managing Director - Banking Group

Martin Kohlhase, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Martin Rast, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Structured Finance

10.15Keynote Spotlight Conversation

Karsten Löffler, Managing Director, Green and Sustainable Finance Cluster Germany (GSFCG)

Led by Matthias Hellstern, Managing Director, Corporate Finance Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

Laura Perez Martinez, Associate Managing Director, Credit Strategy

11.35Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

Swen Metzler, Vice President - Senior Analyst , Financial Institutions Group

11.50 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

Martin Kohlhase, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

12.05 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

Led by Laura Perez Martinez, Associate Managing Director, Credit Strategy

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Mark Remshardt, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Infrastructure Finance Group

Christian Badorff, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Financial Institutions Group – EMEA Insurance

12.35Close of the Conference

12.45 Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Falk Frey, Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance Group

Steffen Dyck, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group

Keynote Speaker

Karsten Löffler
Managing Director

Guest Speaker

Green and Sustainable Finance Cluster Germany (GSFCG)

Guest Speaker

Green and Sustainable Finance Cluster Germany (GSFCG)

Managing Director
Karsten Löffler

Moody's Speakers

Matthias Hellstern
Managing Director -
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Managing Director -
Matthias Hellstern
Dietmar Hornung
Associate Managing Director -
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Associate Managing Director -
Dietmar Hornung
Carola Schuler
Managing Director - Banking Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Managing Director - Banking Group
Carola Schuler
Martin Kohlhase
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group
Martin Kohlhase
Martin Rast
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Structured Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Structured Finance
Martin Rast
Laura Perez Martinez
Associate Managing Director -
Credit Strategy

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Credit Strategy
Associate Managing Director -
Laura Perez Martinez
Swen Metzler
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group
Swen Metzler
Andrew Davison
Senior Vice President -
Project & Infrastructure Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Project & Infrastructure Finance
Senior Vice President -
Andrew Davison
Mark Remshardt
Vice President – Senior Analyst,
Infrastructure Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Infrastructure Finance Group
Vice President – Senior Analyst,
Mark Remshardt
Christian Badorff
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Financial Institutions Group, EMEA Insurance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group, EMEA Insurance
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Christian Badorff
Falk Frey
Senior Vice President
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Senior Vice President
Falk Frey
Steffen Dyck
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group
Steffen Dyck

If you have any questions regarding the Credit Trends, please contact Jasmine Endres.