Credit Trends
Thursday, January 23, 2020
January
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Overview

The theme this year – navigating a more fractured world – looks into the impact on credit of increasing polarization, geopolitical risks and the persistently low or negative interest rate environment.

How will these challenges change the outlook for 2020 and beyond? How can credit assessments incorporate new risks?

Join one of the largest credit event series globally bringing together over 2000 investors, issuers, analysts and intermediaries to explore what themes are set to shape credit markets.

The registration for this event is currently oversubscribed. Click "Join waitlist" to be added to the waitlist

The event is free to attend.

<div class="custom-container w-container"><h2 class="n-h2">Why Attend?</h2><div class="custom-fa-wrapper"><div class="custom-item-holder latamblue"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder latamblue"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Turn outlooks into Insights</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Connect the dots between the trends, analysis and uncertainties for the year ahead</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Map out credit risks</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Take a closer look into what shifts will impact sovereign, banking and corporate sectors the most</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Engage with the market</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Network with tinvestors, asset and risk managers, retail and commercial bankers, underwritters and issuers</p></div></div></div></div>

Agenda

08.00Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Chairman: Sean Marion, Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

  • Europe in its late cycle: Supportive domestic demand challenged by trade uncertainties
  • Reviewing Europe’s policy tools: What to expect from ECB, fiscal policy and structural reforms?  

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

  • Geopolitical risk landscape: Trade reliance
  • Increasing polarization in a period of economic downturn  
  • The impact of low interest rates on cross-sector profitability

Led by Sean Marion, Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Laurie Mayers, Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

Anthony Parry, Senior Vice President - Manager, Structured Finance Group

10.15Banking Presentation    

Outlook for Global Investment Banks  

  • Profitability has likely reached cycle peak
  • Competition is intensifying leading to sector stratification
  • Digital transformation accelerates

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

10.30Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Drivers behind negative outlook
  • Developments in credit quality of European issuers
  • Common themes influencing under pressure sectors

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Keynote Spotlight Conversation

Sir Simon Fraser, Co-founder, Flint Global

Led by Colin Ellis, Managing Director - Chief Credit Officer EMEA & Head of UK

11.45Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

  • Trends and forecasts for 2020
  • Default behaviour in the next downturn  

Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy & Research

12.05 Panel Discussion

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

  • Climate change: Physical and transition risks explored
  • Disruptive technologies: Productivity, profitability, cyber and other risks

Led by Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy & Research

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Phil Cope, Assistant Vice President - Analyst, Public Finance

Brandan Holmes, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Insurance

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Banking

12.35Close of the Conference

12.45Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

  • Identifying the credit materiality of ESG
  • ESG assessment tools: ranking issuer exposure
  • Impact on credit ratings: examples and case studies

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Graham Taylor, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Lucia Lopez, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

Agenda

08.00Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Chairman: Sean Marion, Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

Led by Sean Marion, Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Laurie Mayers, Associate Managing Director, Financial Institutions Group

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer

Anthony Parry, Senior Vice President - Manager, Structured Finance Group

10.15Banking Presentation    

Outlook for Global Investment Banks  

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

10.30Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

David Beadle, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Keynote Spotlight Conversation

Sir Simon Fraser, Co-founder, Flint Global

Led by Colin Ellis, Managing Director - Chief Credit Officer EMEA & Head of UK

11.45Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy & Research

12.05 Panel Discussion

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

Led by Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy & Research

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Phil Cope, Assistant Vice President - Analyst, Public Finance

Brandan Holmes, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Insurance

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Banking

12.35Close of the Conference

12.45Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

Andrew Davison, Senior Vice President, Project & Infrastructure Finance

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Graham Taylor, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Lucia Lopez, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

Keynote Speaker

Simon Fraser
Co-founder

Guest Speaker

Flint Global

Guest Speaker

Flint Global

Co-founder
Simon Fraser

Moody's Speakers

Sean Marion
Managing Director -
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Managing Director -
Sean Marion
Sarah Carlson
Senior Vice President -
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President -
Sarah Carlson
Colin Ellis
Managing Director -
Chief Credit Officer EMEA

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Chief Credit Officer EMEA
Managing Director -
Colin Ellis
Laurie Mayers
Associate Managing Director -
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Associate Managing Director -
Laurie Mayers
David Beadle
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group
David Beadle
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, CSS

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, CSS
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez
Anthony Parry
Senior Vice President / Manager -
Structured Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Structured Finance Group
Senior Vice President / Manager -
Anthony Parry
Alessandro Roccati
Senior Vice President -
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Senior Vice President -
Alessandro Roccati
Phil Cope
Assistant Vice President - Analyst, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Assistant Vice President - Analyst, Project & Infrastructure Finance
Phil Cope
Brandan Holmes
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Brandan Holmes
Andrew Davison
Senior Vice President -
Project & Infrastructure Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Project & Infrastructure Finance
Senior Vice President -
Andrew Davison
Graham Taylor
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer,
UK regulated and unregulated utilities

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

UK regulated and unregulated utilities
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer,
Graham Taylor
James Leaton
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
ESG

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

ESG
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
James Leaton
Lucia Lopez
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Lucia Lopez

If you have any questions regarding the Credit Trends, please contact Christopher De Ridder.