Credit Trends
Tuesday, January 14, 2020
January
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Overview

Overview

The theme this year – navigating a more fractured world – looks into the impact on credit of increasing polarization, geopolitical risks and the persistently low or negative interest rate environment.

How will these challenges change the outlook for 2020 and beyond? How can credit assessments incorporate new risks?

Join one of the largest credit event series globally bringing together over 2000 investors, issuers, analysts and intermediaries to explore what themes are set to shape credit markets. 

The registration for this event is currently oversubscribed. Click  Join Waitlist to be added to the waitlist.

The event is free to attend and will be held in French.

<div class="custom-container w-container"><h2 class="n-h2">Why Attend?</h2><div class="custom-fa-wrapper"><div class="custom-item-holder latamblue"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder latamblue"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Turn outlooks into Insights</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Connect the dots between the trends, analysis and uncertainties for the year ahead</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Map out credit risks</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Take a closer look into what shifts will impact sovereign, banking and corporate sectors the most</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt">Engage with the market</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Network with tinvestors, asset and risk managers, retail and commercial bankers, underwritters and issuers</p></div></div></div></div>

Agenda

08.00 Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

  • Identifying the credit materiality of ESG
  • ESG assessment tools: ranking issuer exposure
  • Impact on credit ratings: examples and case studies

Yasmina Serghini, Managing Director, Corporate Finance

Benjamin Leyre, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

  • Europe in its late cycle: Supportive domestic demand challenged by trade uncertainties
  • Reviewing Europe’s policy tools: What to expect from ECB, fiscal policy and structural reforms?

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

  • Geopolitical risk landscape: Trade reliance
  • Increasing polarization in a period of economic downturn  
  • The impact of low interest rates on cross-sector profitability

Led by Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

Anne-Sophie Spirito, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Structured Finance Group

10.15Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Mounting challenges pressuring profitability
  • Digitalisation and Payments Services Directive shifting banks’ business models
  • Regional banks’ vulnerabilities and resilience

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

10.30 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Drivers behind negative outlook
  • Developments in credit quality of European issuers
  • Common themes influencing under pressure sectors

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

  • Trends and forecasts for 2020
  • Default behaviour in the next downturn  

Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

11.35 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

  • Climate change: Physical and transition risks explored
  • Disruptive technologies: Productivity, profitability, cyber and other risks

Led by Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

Laurent Le Mouël, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Ratings and Process Oversight

Celine Cherubin, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Public Projects Infrastructure Finance

Benjamin Serra, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.15Close of the Conference

12.30Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

Agenda

08.00 Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

Yasmina Serghini, Managing Director, Corporate Finance

Benjamin Leyre, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Project & Infrastructure Finance

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Navigating choppy waters: Trade tensions, political challenges and a limited policy space

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

Led by Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

Anne-Sophie Spirito, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Structured Finance Group

10.15Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

10.30 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

11.35 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

Led by Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

Laurent Le Mouël, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Ratings and Process Oversight

Celine Cherubin, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Public Projects Infrastructure Finance

Benjamin Serra, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.15Close of the Conference

12.30Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

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Moody's Speakers

Sarah Carlson
Senior Vice President -
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President -
Sarah Carlson
Kathrin Muehlbronner
Senior Vice President -
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President -
Kathrin Muehlbronner
Yasuko Nakamura
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
EMEA Banking

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

EMEA Banking
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
Yasuko Nakamura
Anne-Sophie Spirito
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Structured Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Structured Finance Group
Vice President - Senior Analyst,
Anne-Sophie Spirito
Vincent Allilaire
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
Credit Strategy and Research

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Credit Strategy and Research
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer,
Vincent Allilaire
Laurent Le Mouël
Laurent Le Mouël, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, Ratings and Process Oversight

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Laurent Le Mouël, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, Ratings and Process Oversight
Laurent Le Mouël
Benjamin Serra
Senior Vice President -
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Senior Vice President -
Benjamin Serra
Eric Kang
Vice President – Senior Analyst,
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Vice President – Senior Analyst,
Eric Kang
Benjamin Leyre
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer,
Project & Infrastructure Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Project & Infrastructure Finance
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer,
Benjamin Leyre
Yasmina Serghini
Managing Director
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Managing Director
Yasmina Serghini
Celine Cherubin
Vice President – Senior Analyst,
Infrastructure Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Infrastructure Finance Group
Vice President – Senior Analyst,
Celine Cherubin

If you have any questions regarding the Credit Trends, please contact Mirley Ribas.