Credit Trends
Tuesday, January 14, 2020
January
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Overview

Overview

The theme this year – navigating a more fractured world – looks into the impact on credit of increasing polarization, geopolitical risks and the persistently low or negative interest rate environment.

How will these challenges change the outlook for 2020 and beyond? How can credit assessments incorporate new risks?

Join one of the largest credit event series globally bringing together over 2000 investors, issuers, analysts and intermediaries to explore what themes are set to shape credit markets. 

The event is free to attend and will be held in French.

<div class="custom-container w-container"><h2 class="n-h2">Why Attend?</h2><div class="custom-fa-wrapper"><div class="custom-item-holder latamblue"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder latamblue"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt latamblue">Turn outlooks into Insights</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Connect the dots between the trends, analysis and uncertainties for the year ahead</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt latamblue">Map out credit risks</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Take a look at what will impact sovereign, banking and corporate sectors</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt latamblue">Engage with the market</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Network with investors, asset and risk managers, retail and commercial bankers, underwritters and issuers</p></div></div></div></div>

Agenda

08.00 Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

  • Identifying the credit materiality of ESG
  • ESG assessment tools: ranking issuer exposure
  • Impact on credit ratings: examples and case studies

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Trade tensions, populism and Brexit: On the lookout for the right policy mix

  • EU: New leadership and old challenges – what’s ahead for Germany, France, Italy and Spain
  • UK: Brexit uncertainties, weakening growth and the government’s spending plans

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

  • Geopolitical risk landscape: Trade reliance
  • Increasing polarization in a period of economic downturn  
  • The impact of low interest rates on cross-sector profitability

Led by Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

Anne-Sophie Spirito, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Structured Finance Group

10.15Spotlight Conversation

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

  • Trends and forecasts for 2020
  • Default behaviour in the next downturn  

Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

11.35Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Mounting challenges pressuring profitability
  • Digitalisation and Payments Services Directive shifting banks’ business models
  • Regional banks’ vulnerabilities and resilience

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

11.50 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Effects and prospects of economic slowdown
  • Who feels the heat of margin pressure
  • How strong is the force of technological change  

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

12.05 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

  • Climate change: Physical and transition risks explored
  • Disruptive technologies: Productivity, profitability, cyber and other risks

Led by Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

Laurent Le Mouël, Vice President Senior Analyst, EMEA Banking

Celine Cherubin, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Public Projects Infrastructure Finance

Benjamin Serra, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.35Close of the Conference

12.45Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

Agenda

08.00 Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Trade tensions, populism and Brexit: On the lookout for the right policy mix

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

Led by Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

Anne-Sophie Spirito, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Structured Finance Group

10.15Spotlight Conversation

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

11.35Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

Yasuko Nakamura, Vice President - Senior Credit Office, EMEA Banking

11.50 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

Eric Kang, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group

12.05 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

Led by Vincent Allilaire, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Credit Strategy and Research

Laurent Le Mouël, Vice President Senior Analyst, EMEA Banking

Celine Cherubin, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Public Projects Infrastructure Finance

Benjamin Serra, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.35Close of the Conference

12.45Workshop: Strengthen your credit analysis using Moody's CreditView (50min)

Discover how Moody’s CreditView can improve your credit analysis by bringing together credit ratings, research and data from Moody’s Investors Service, as well as research, data and content from Moody’s Analytics. Presented by Moody’s Analytics

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Moody's Speakers

Sarah Carlson
Senior Vice President
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President
Sarah Carlson
Kathrin Muehlbronner
Senior Vice President
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President
Kathrin Muehlbronner
Yasuko Nakamura
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
EMEA Banking

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

EMEA Banking
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Yasuko Nakamura
Anne-Sophie Spirito
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Structured Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Structured Finance Group
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Anne-Sophie Spirito
Vincent Allilaire
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Credit Strategy and Research

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Credit Strategy and Research
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Vincent Allilaire
Laurent Le Mouël
Vice President - Senior Analyst EMEA Banking

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President - Senior Analyst EMEA Banking
Laurent Le Mouël
Benjamin Serra
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Senior Vice President
Benjamin Serra
Eric Kang
Vice President – Senior Analyst
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Vice President – Senior Analyst
Eric Kang

If you have any questions regarding the Credit Trends, please contact Mirley Ribas.