Credit Trends
Wednesday, January 15, 2020
January
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Overview

The theme this year – navigating a more fractured world – looks into the impact on credit of increasing polarization, geopolitical risks and the persistently low or negative interest rate environment.

How will these challenges change the outlook for 2020 and beyond? How can credit assessments incorporate new risks?

Join one of the largest credit event series globally bringing together over 2000 investors, issuers, analysts and intermediaries to explore what themes are set to shape credit markets.

The event is free to attend.

<div class="custom-container w-container"><h2 class="n-h2">Why Attend?</h2><div class="custom-fa-wrapper"><div class="custom-item-holder latamblue"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder latamblue"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt latamblue">Turn outlooks into Insights</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Connect the dots between the trends, analysis and uncertainties for the year ahead</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><strong class="bold-text-5"></strong><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt latamblue">Map out credit risks</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Take a look at what will impact sovereign, banking and corporate sectors</p></div></div><div class="custom-item-holder"><div class="custom-icon-fa alt latamblue"><br></div><div class="custom-item-text-holder"><h1 class="custom-item-heading alt latamblue">Engage with the market</h1><p class="custom-item-para alt latamblue">Network with investors, asset and risk managers, retail and commercial bankers, underwritters and issuers</p></div></div></div></div>

Agenda

08.00Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

  • Identifying the credit materiality of ESG
  • ESG assessment tools: ranking issuer exposure
  • Impact on credit ratings: examples and case studies

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Simon Ainsworth, Group Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Trade tensions, populism and Brexit: On the lookout for the right policy mix

  • EU: New leadership and old challenges – what’s ahead for Germany, France, Italy and Spain
  • UK: Brexit uncertainties, weakening growth and the government’s spending plans

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

  • Geopolitical risk landscape: Trade reliance
  • Increasing polarization in a period of economic downturn  
  • The impact of low interest rates on cross-sector profitability

Led by Simon Ainsworth, Group Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

Louise Lundberg, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

Maria Gillholm, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Tomás Rodríguez-Vigil, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Structured Finance Group

10.15Keynote Spotlight Conversation

Lena Sellgren, Chief Economist, Business Sweden

Led by Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

  • Trends and forecasts for 2020
  • Default behaviour in the next downturn  

Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

11.35Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Mounting challenges pressuring profitability
  • Digitalisation and Payments Services Directive shifting banks’ business models
  • Regional banks’ vulnerabilities and resilience

Niclas Boheman, AVP - Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

11.50 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

  • Effects and prospects of economic slowdown
  • Who feels the heat of margin pressure
  • How strong is the force of technological change

Maria Gillholm, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

12.05 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

  • Climate change: Physical and transition risks explored
  • Disruptive technologies: Productivity, profitability, cyber and other risks

Led by Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Joanna Fic, Senior Vice President, Public Project & Infrastructure Finance

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.35Close of the Conference

Agenda

08.00Workshop: A Practical Guide to ESG Integration (50 min)

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00Opening Remarks

Simon Ainsworth, Group Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

09.10Sovereign Insight

Trade tensions, populism and Brexit: On the lookout for the right policy mix

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

09.30Plenary Panel

Credit polarization and profitability over the next 12 months

Led by Simon Ainsworth, Group Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

Louise Lundberg, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

Maria Gillholm, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

Tomás Rodríguez-Vigil, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Structured Finance Group

10.15Keynote Spotlight Conversation

Lena Sellgren, Chief Economist, Business Sweden

Led by Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

10.45Networking Break

11.15Rating & Default Trends Presentation

The only way is up  

Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

11.35Banking Presentation    

Banking outlook and insight into key regional players  

Niclas Boheman, AVP - Analyst, Financial Institutions Group

11.50 Corporate Presentation    

Corporate outlook and insight into key regional players  

Maria Gillholm, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Corporate Finance Group

12.05 Panel Discussion 

How will ESG and technology risks evolve over the next decade

Led by Jorge Rodriguez-Valez, Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

James Leaton, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, ESG

Joanna Fic, Senior Vice President, Public Project & Infrastructure Finance

Alessandro Roccati, Senior Vice President, Financial Institutions Group

12.35Close of the Conference

Keynote Speaker

Lena Sellgren
Chief Economist

Guest Speaker

Business Sweden

Guest Speaker

Business Sweden

Chief Economist
Lena Sellgren

Moody's Speakers

Simon Ainsworth
Group Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Group Credit Officer, Financial Institutions Group
Simon Ainsworth
Louise Lundberg
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Louise Lundberg
Tomás Rodríguez-Vigil
Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Structured Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Structured Finance Group
Tomás Rodríguez-Vigil
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez
Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Vice President Senior Credit Officer - CSS
Jorge Rodriguez-Valez
Niclas Boheman
AVP - Analyst
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
AVP - Analyst
Niclas Boheman
Maria Gillholm
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Corporate Finance Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Corporate Finance Group
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Maria Gillholm
Joanna Fic
Senior Vice President
Public Project & Infrastructure Finance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Public Project & Infrastructure Finance
Senior Vice President
Joanna Fic
Alessandro Roccati
Senior Vice President
Financial Institutions Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group
Senior Vice President
Alessandro Roccati
James Leaton
Vice President, Senior Credit Officer
ESG

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

ESG
Vice President, Senior Credit Officer
James Leaton
Christian Badorff
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Financial Institutions Group – EMEA Insurance

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Financial Institutions Group – EMEA Insurance
Vice President - Senior Analyst
Christian Badorff
Dietmar Hornung
Associate Managing Director
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Associate Managing Director
Dietmar Hornung

If you have any questions regarding the Credit Trends, please contact Larissa Galakova-Rothe.