Global Sovereign Summit
Tuesday, November 12, 2019
November
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Overview Why attendContact

Overview

Overview

What is fuelling populism? How does it impact  sovereign credit risk? How are policy makers responding?
This year the well-established Summit will explore how disruptive  developments are shaping global and regional sovereign risk landscape. Join the complimentary event to hear the latest  thinking from the market leaders and credit analysts.

 

What will be discussed

Global sovereign outlook 2020  | Get forward looking views on macro & country specific risks

The rise of populism  | Explore what’s fuelling it and implications for sovereign credit

Disruptive developments  | See the impact of US-China tensions, economic effects of ageing

Regional insight  | Join the regional breakout sessions to get your questions answered

Who Attends

The Summit attracts over 200 investors, issuers and analysts from across Europe.Last year the Global Sovereign Summit was joined by representatives from:

AXA, Bankof America Merrill Lynch, Bank of China, Bank of England, Barclays, Blackrock, BNY Mellon, BP, Canopius, European Investment Bank, Fidelity, HSBC, ICBC Standard Bank, IFC, JP Morgan, Lloyds Banking Group, MetLife Investments, Mizuho Bank, MUFG Bank, Prudential, Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management, UBS, Wells Fargo

Breakfast Workshop ( 8:15 - 8:50)
Discover how Moody's CreditView can facilitate your fundamental credit analysis. You will learn how you can quickly access core credit information, and how to deep-dive into a full suite of research, data and services, to help you get it done. Led by Moody’s Analytics                                                                              

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00 Opening Presentation: Global Sovereign Outlook 2020

Yves Lemay, Managing Director, Sovereign Risk

09.15 Keynote Spotlight Conversation: The rise of populism and implications for sovereign risk

  • What’s fuelling populism: Is it a fad or here to stay?
  • How is it affecting economic policy?
  • What does this mean for sovereign credit risk?

Led by Alastair Wilson, Managing Director, Sovereign

Robert D. Kaplan, Managing Director, Eurasia Group

10.05 Panel Discussion: What other factors are shaping sovereign risk landscape?

  • Shock absorption capacity
  • US-China trade war  
  • Economic effects of ageing: Impact on growth and budgetary outcome
  • Impact of new technologies

Led by Marie Diron, Managing Director, Sovereign

Mauro Leos-Lopez, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Evan Wohlmann, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign

10.45 Networking & Coffee Break

11.15 REGIONAL BREAKOUT SESSIONS – Each session will be run 2 times

Format: 10 min prepared remarks followed by Q&A

1st Round – 11.15 – 12.10 (55 min) | 2nd Round – 12.15 – 13.00 (45 min)

EU 27 and UK

Navigating Trade Tensions, Populism and Brexit in a Late Cycle

  • EU: New leadership and old challenges – what’s ahead for France, Italy and Spain?
  • UK: Elevated uncertainties in light of Brexit, weakening growth and the government’s spending plans

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign

Turkey, South Africa & Russia

Politics and institutions, fiscal and external challenges

  • Turkish credit risk given its wide-ranging challenges
  • South Africa’s policy space to tackle economic, fiscal and social challenges
  • Russia’s growth potential in light of reforms, sanctions and public finances  

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign

Lucie Villa, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign

Evan Wohlmann, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign

China, India and elsewhere in Asia  
  • Trade war, SOE leverage, RMB depreciation: What implications for China’s sovereign credit?
  • What is the outlook for fiscal, economic reforms in India?
  • How is trade-reliant Asia facing the trade war?

Marie Diron, Managing Director, Sovereign

Jennifer Wong, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sub-Sovereign Group

Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and elsewhere in LatAm

The Political Economy of Lower-for-longer Growth

  • The politics of debt restructuring in Argentina and the role of the IMF
  • Social security reform, fiscal sustainability and Brazil’s low-growth trap
  • Regime change and fiscal austerity in Mexico in the context of recurrent financial support to Pemex

Mauro Leos-Lopez, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Yves Lemay, Managing Director, Sovereign Risk

13.00 Close of the Conference

Breakfast Workshop ( 8:15 - 8:50)
Discover how Moody's CreditView can facilitate your fundamental credit analysis. You will learn how you can quickly access core credit information, and how to deep-dive into a full suite of research, data and services, to help you get it done. Led by Moody’s Analytics                                                                              

08.30 Registration & Coffee

09.00 Opening Presentation: Global Sovereign Outlook 2020

Yves Lemay, Managing Director, Sovereign Risk

09.15 Keynote Spotlight Conversation: The rise of populism and implications for sovereign risk

Led by Alastair Wilson, Managing Director, Sovereign

Robert D. Kaplan, Managing Director, Eurasia Group

10.05 Panel Discussion: What other factors are shaping sovereign risk landscape?

Led by Marie Diron, Managing Director, Sovereign

Mauro Leos-Lopez, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Evan Wohlmann, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign

10.45 Networking & Coffee Break

11.15 REGIONAL BREAKOUT SESSIONS – Each session will be run 2 times

Format: 10 min prepared remarks followed by Q&A

1st Round – 11.15 – 12.10 (55 min) | 2nd Round – 12.15 – 13.00 (45 min)

EU 27 and UK

Navigating Trade Tensions, Populism and Brexit in a Late Cycle

Dietmar Hornung, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign

Turkey, South Africa & Russia

Politics and institutions, fiscal and external challenges

Sarah Carlson, Senior Vice President, Sovereign

Lucie Villa, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign

Evan Wohlmann, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign

China, India and elsewhere in Asia  

Marie Diron, Managing Director, Sovereign

Jennifer Wong, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sub-Sovereign Group

Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and elsewhere in LatAm

The Political Economy of Lower-for-longer Growth

Mauro Leos-Lopez, Associate Managing Director, Sovereign

Yves Lemay, Managing Director, Sovereign Risk

13.00 Close of the Conference

Keynote Speaker

Robert D. Kaplan
Managing Director

Guest Speaker

Eurasia Group

Guest Speaker

Eurasia Group

Managing Director
Robert D. Kaplan

Moody's Speakers

Yves Lemay
Managing Director
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Managing Director
Yves Lemay
Alastair Wilson
Managing Director
Global Sovereign Risk

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Global Sovereign Risk
Managing Director
Alastair Wilson
Marie Diron
Managing Director
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Managing Director
Marie Diron
Dietmar Hornung
Associate Managing Director
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Associate Managing Director
Dietmar Hornung
Kathrin Muehlbronner
Senior Vice President
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President
Kathrin Muehlbronner
Sarah Carlson
Senior Vice President
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Senior Vice President
Sarah Carlson
Mauro Leos-Lopez
Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Associate Managing Director, Sovereign Risk Group
Mauro Leos-Lopez
Evan Wohlmann
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Vice President - Senior Credit Officer
Evan Wohlmann
Lucie Villa
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Sovereign Risk Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sovereign Risk Group
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Lucie Villa
Jennifer Wong
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Sub-Sovereign Group

Moody's Investors Service

Moody's Investors Service

Sub-Sovereign Group
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer
Jennifer Wong
Contact Information

Simona Fautré

Events & Outreach Manager

44 (0)207 772 1480 office

simona.fautre@moodys.com